Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Candid Comment -Tariffs

  

Tariffs, the word seems to be everywhere these days. But, what exactly is a tariff? How does it work? And why is it not always the best way to go?

Many people think that tariffs are simple, easy to implement, and that they are a great way to get more money into the public purse of a country.  

To understand how tariffs work, we have to know what the point of them is. Tariffs are essentially a tax on imported goods. They work in two ways, the first is an additional cost added to an imported good. Cars are a good example. So a car that is valued at 25,000 might have a tariff added when it is exported to another country, that country pays an additional sum of money, say 1,000. So that car now has 26,000 in cost. You, the consumer, pay that extra 1K for buying that car that was exported to your country because your country levied a 1k tariff on that car that has been imported. A more common approach is to add a percentage to the value. Like 10% on that 25k, which means that same car would have a price tag of 27,500k. 

Many politicians think that tariffs are great ways to get consumers to buy local, protect national security, and get extra money into the economy of their country. Well, yes, they do that, but there are some serious downsides to tariffs. Tariffs are intended to protect domestic industries, encourage local production, or even exert political leverage. However, these seemingly simple taxes can ripple through economies far beyond their intended use. The biggest risk to the economy by imposing a tariff is severe price increases in the economy of the country imposing the levy.  Costs are always going to be passed down to the consumer via the supply chain.  This can hit families particularly hard, especially those on tight budgets, who may find themselves paying more for everyday necessities. Whether it's clothing, electronics, or groceries, tariffs erode purchasing power and can contribute to inflation. High inflation can cause job losses as well. Businesses will always look to maintain the bottom line. Part of that means lowering production of goods and reducing staff. Less product drives up the price of the item being sold in another country, so while a tariff does hurt the exporter, it also impacts the importer.

Trade Wars and Global Instability are another risk. Tariffs by nature are often used in hostile ways against another country. They can cause the attacked nation to escalate, devolving into a tit-for-tat trade war, where countries retaliate with their own tariffs on goods from the original imposing nation. This form of protectionism can disrupt global supply chains, create uncertainty for businesses, and lead to a decline in international cooperation. These trade disputes damage economic relationships and can create political instability in the nation imposing the tariff as well as the target nation, which right now in our world is a risk that no politician should want to take. 

Tariffs are often intended to protect domestic industries, they can ironically have the opposite effect. By making imported components more expensive, tariffs can raise production costs for domestic manufacturers who rely on these goods. This can make their products less competitive both domestically and internationally. Tariffs can shield domestic industries from the competition that drives innovation and efficiency, leading to stagnation and a lack of long-term growth.

Tariffs can also restrict the choices available to consumers. When imports are made more expensive, businesses may choose not to import certain products, limiting consumer access to diverse and potentially innovative goods. By limiting international competition, tariffs can also stifle innovation, as domestic producers face less pressure to improve quality and develop new products.

Tariffs can artificially inflate the price of goods and services in certain industries. This causes a drain on investment. Tariffs also cause resources to be used in a manner that hinders growth in an economy. The misallocation of resources can hinder overall economic growth and reduce long-term prosperity. Resources are diverted from industries that may have stronger growth potential to those being artificially protected, potentially stunting, or radically slowing down innovation and economic advancement.

Tariffs are complex and their Implementation, enforcement, and administration of them is a time-consuming process. It requires dedicated government resources and can lead to bureaucratic inefficiencies. Furthermore, tariffs can be easily circumvented through legal loopholes or illegal smuggling, resulting in further complications and loss of government revenue.

While tariffs may appear to be a quick fix to perceived economic and other political problems, their downsides are often considerable. Increased consumer costs, trade wars, damage to domestic industries, reduced choice, distorted resource allocation, and challenges in implementation all point to the fact that the use of tariffs are not the smartest way to help a country. Instead, policymakers need to consider the broader economic implications and explore more effective approaches that foster fair trade, encourage innovation, and promote long-term sustainable growth. A more considered and comprehensive strategy is crucial to harnessing the benefits of global trade without resorting to the potentially damaging effects of widespread protectionism. Lastly, they should never be used to enforce the will of one nation upon another. Such tactics risk causing the one nation to possibly go to war against another. It's wiser to use diplomatic resources to resolve differences and develop cooperation between nations.

Want to learn more about Tariffs, check these resources out.


EDC, a Canadian website, has an article called Tariffs 101: What are tariffs and how do they impact international trade?

Another source, this one from the US perspective is USC Dornsife, the article Tariffs: What are they, who pays for them and who do they benefit?

And we cannot forget about Wikipedia, yes they have an article about tariffs.

Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Candid Conversations - 2024 How Did This Blog Do?

 
First, let me take this moment to wish all of you a Merry belated Christmas and a soon-to-be Happy New Year. I hope you have a wonderful time with family over the holidays and in 2025 joy, peace and all that is good will come your way.

2024 has come to its end and this year was a bit of a busy one re the blog, sort of. On average, one article per month was posted. Except for December, so a total of 11 posts were uploaded. The number one post for the year is my commentary on the Governor General's relevance, the article published in November has 737 views, making it the number one post of the 11 posted this year. The lowest in February was a comment on the use of Nitrogen to execute a man in the US. It got 412 views.

A look back shows that the blog did really well, getting 16K in views. The breakdown looks like this.

— Average monthly page views, 1300 views.
— Average Unique visits per month, 1000
— First time visits, 1000 per month
— And about 3 returning visitors per month


September was the best month.

2,503 Page views 1,744 Unique Visits 1,741 First time Visits 3 Returning
Visits to the site broke down as follows:

First Time Visitors    12,350
1-5 Returning Visits        19
6-10 Returning Visits        1
10+ Returning Visits         1

The time spent on the blog is very critical, and I am happy, to see such good results.

Hits      Session Length
9313     Less than 5 secs
1163     From 5 secs to 30 secs
2013     From 30 secs to 5 mins
5           From 5 mins to 20 mins
1           From 20 mins to an hour
1           Longer than an hour

2013 From 30 secs to 5 minutes is right in the middle. The so-called sweet spot. This metric points to the fact that people are actually reading posts. Looking at the 20 minutes as well as the longer than an hour stat could mean many things, like people parking and leaving the site up, or possibly, someone scraping the site.

Most of the visits were from the US. In fact, the bulk of them were.

90% of the 16k views were from the US.
Canada, a mere 36 views accounting for less than 1%
Here is the kicker, the next largest view ratio 3% is from the Russian Federation with 488 views total.

So, to say the least, the blog has done very well. And I am pleased to say that the growth continues. 16,000 is the largest so far since launch in 2009. To date, the blog has over 51,000 views. I can thank everyone enough for making Candid Conversations a success.

So what is next? The blog format has changed. As you can see, it's now more comments oriented, and that will be the direction going forward. The interviews are now done on Candid Conversations Zoomed In and Video Comments. The comments will be more or less changed to focus on interesting facts and will even be re-titled. More on that when I do my next post on the site. You can visit the channel via this link.

Thanks again for being a part of Candid Conversations, I hope you will come back soon, and I wish all of your happiness in 2025.